SCD Durango vs CD Padura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
13º
7º
31
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AFT
1 - 1
CDU
51%
25%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CDU
1 - 2
LEI
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
CDU
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDU
1 - 1
PAS
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
CDU
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Padura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AUR
2 - 0
CDP
53%
24%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 1
AFT
20%
24%
56%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 1
CDP
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 2
POR
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAS
0 - 1
CDP
43%
26%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |