Universidad de Valladolid vs CD Villa de Simancas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
79.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad de Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDF
4 - 1
UVA
81%
12%
7%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
UVA
0 - 4
CIS
16%
21%
64%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
UVA
1 - 4
ATL
8%
15%
77%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDM
2 - 1
UVA
83%
12%
5%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UVA
1 - 2
PON
8%
17%
75%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villa de Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDV
2 - 2
ATL
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 2
CDV
30%
23%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CDV
3 - 3
PON
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 0
CDV
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CDV
2 - 1
BET
70%
17%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |