San Bernardo vs Tesorillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CDS
0 - 1
VIL
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
UBR
3 - 0
CDS
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDS
2 - 0
UDT
54%
21%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ARC
2 - 1
CDS
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CDS
2 - 1
CDE
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tesorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
REC
2 - 1
UDT
55%
22%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
6 - 0
UDT
62%
20%
18%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
UDT
2 - 3
UBR
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
UDT
3 - 1
UDT
41%
24%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UDT
2 - 4
ARC
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |