CD Cerreño vs CD Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
CDC
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 3
ALM
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
CDC
33%
24%
44%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
GBL
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
CDC
43%
23%
34%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
CAN
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
ALO
3 - 2
EST
47%
23%
30%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
MAZ
47%
23%
31%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DCA
0 - 0
EST
53%
23%
25%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
REP
26%
24%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |