BW Papenburg vs Heidmühler FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BWP
4 - 1
SCM
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
BWP
0 - 2
TSO
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
BWP
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BWL
1 - 1
BWP
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BVE
0 - 3
BWP
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Heidmühler FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 1
HFC
86%
9%
4%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
HFC
2 - 5
VGE
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
OYT
3 - 1
HFC
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TSO
1 - 1
HFC
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
HFC
3 - 2
BWL
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +2 |