BW Papenburg vs Heeslinger SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
48.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
18º
18º
57
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FTB
2 - 2
BWP
22%
20%
59%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BWP
2 - 2
HSC
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LSK
1 - 2
BWP
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BWP
2 - 2
VFL
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BWP
1 - 1
BVE
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heeslinger SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
HEE
2 - 1
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RAE
3 - 3
HEE
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HEE
3 - 0
SCH
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TSV
0 - 6
HEE
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HEE
3 - 0
BSV
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |