BW Papenburg vs BV Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
WER
0 - 4
BWP
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
TRW
1 - 3
BWP
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GEL
0 - 4
BWP
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BWP
1 - 2
VWI
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
BWL
2 - 1
BWP
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
BV Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
SVB
1 - 1
BVE
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BWL
5 - 0
BVE
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VWI
0 - 1
BVE
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BVE
0 - 3
BWL
20%
20%
59%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
BWP
2 - 0
BVE
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |