BW Oberhausen-Lirich vs Nievenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BW Oberhausen-Lirich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
WUL
0 - 2
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BOL
7 - 1
VFL
47%
22%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 2
SFB
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FCR
3 - 1
BOL
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BOL
3 - 2
SSV
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NIE
4 - 2
VFL
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SFB
4 - 1
NIE
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -3 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 0
FCR
12%
17%
70%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +6 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SSV
2 - 2
NIE
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 0
SSN
25%
22%
54%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |