BW Lohne vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
13º
8º
21
9º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 33 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BW Lohne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BSV
1 - 1
BWL
66%
19%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BWL
2 - 0
FCP
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
OTT
1 - 1
BWL
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BWL
2 - 4
BSV
49%
23%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BWL
1 - 3
EBT
9%
15%
76%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 3
BSV
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 1
VFB
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
5 - 2
OTT
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 0
VFB
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JED
2 - 1
VFB
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |