BW Lohne vs Eintracht Norderstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
13º
8º
19
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 33 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BW Lohne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 3
BWL
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BWL
1 - 3
LUB
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
JED
1 - 1
BWL
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BWL
5 - 3
BRE
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 0
BWL
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 4
BSV
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 1
EIN
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 1
HAM
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 4
OTT
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 0
EIN
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |