FC BW Friesdorf vs VfL Vichttal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
-68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
15º
14º
61
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SPF
5 - 0
BWF
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BWF
4 - 0
VIA
46%
21%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
BWF
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BWF
1 - 8
BSC
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 1
BWF
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Vichttal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VFL
3 - 2
BGP
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SCF
0 - 3
VFL
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VFL
4 - 1
BER
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VFL
2 - 2
PES
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 1
VFL
41%
23%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |