FC BW Friesdorf vs Pesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-91%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
15º
14º
26
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 4
BGP
38%
23%
40%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
BWF
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KOB
5 - 0
BWF
72%
18%
11%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
MSV
0 - 1
BWF
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BER
3 - 0
BWF
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PES
0 - 0
BSC
10%
16%
74%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 0
PES
66%
19%
16%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
PES
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 0
PES
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PES
2 - 2
SCF
22%
20%
58%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |