FC BW Friesdorf vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BWF
1 - 3
SCF
68%
16%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
H05
1 - 1
BWF
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BWF
3 - 0
EIL
58%
19%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SVB
2 - 2
BWF
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BWF
2 - 1
HUR
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
DUR
2 - 2
H05
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
EIL
2 - 2
DUR
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
DUR
4 - 1
SVB
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 1
DUR
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
DUR
3 - 0
BFR
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |