FC BW Friesdorf vs Borussia Freialdenhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
54.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
15º
14º
37
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SIE
0 - 1
BWF
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 3
PES
57%
20%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 4
BGP
38%
23%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
BWF
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KOB
5 - 0
BWF
72%
18%
11%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 5
BGP
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 2
BFR
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 2
BER
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VFL
3 - 2
BFR
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 3
BFR
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |