BVV/Caterpillar vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
CAP
1 - 4
LIS
22%
22%
56%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 4
VIT
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 2
KOZ
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
TER
1 - 2
LIS
25%
23%
53%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 1
NOO
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |