Vanspor FK vs Menemenspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
10º
3º
37
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 69 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 69 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 66 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 64 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 60 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 53 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 22 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 21 |
17º
|
31.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 21 |
18º
|
30.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
17% | 9% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 25% |
|
Next round
|
63.5% | 63.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanspor FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BUY
2 - 0
GIR
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BUY
3 - 1
NAZ
75%
18%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 4
BUY
16%
24%
60%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
KBS
0 - 2
BUY
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
RIZ
6 - 0
BUY
72%
17%
12%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Menemenspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BEL
3 - 2
MEN
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MEN
2 - 1
KBS
69%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MER
0 - 5
MEN
16%
21%
63%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
BYC
3 - 3
MEN
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
MEN
2 - 3
ANK
21%
22%
57%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |