Tepecikspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+2947%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
16º
15º
18
11º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
42 | 65 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 62 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 51 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 38 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 32 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 30 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 27 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
71.5% | 42.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepecikspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ORD
2 - 0
BUY
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BUY
0 - 3
MBB
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
BUY
0 - 1
SER
13%
18%
69%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 2
BUY
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BUY
1 - 1
TUR
35%
25%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Niğde Belediyesispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NBS
2 - 0
TAL
14%
18%
69%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
NBS
84%
10%
6%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
NBS
1 - 0
YAK
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NBS
0 - 6
NBF
27%
21%
53%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
NBS
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |