Tepecikspor vs Denizlispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
50.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
13º
16º
16º
7
2º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 50 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9.5% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
90.5% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepecikspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BUY
0 - 1
SGS
21%
24%
56%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ZON
2 - 0
BUY
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BUY
0 - 2
KIR
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BUY
0 - 3
KAH
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ASP
2 - 1
BUY
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Denizlispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
POL
2 - 0
DEN
36%
21%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
DEN
1 - 0
NBF
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BER
2 - 0
DEN
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NBS
2 - 0
DEN
18%
18%
64%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -3 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 1
ORD
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |