Buxton vs Warrington Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
SCA
2 - 1
BUX
23%
25%
53%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
BUX
2 - 3
RFC
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
BUX
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BUX
1 - 2
UNM
70%
17%
12%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BUX
3 - 0
ASH
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
WAR
4 - 1
BAM
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
WIT
1 - 4
WAR
25%
24%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
WAR
0 - 2
SCA
57%
24%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 1
RAD
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
GAI
1 - 1
WAR
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |