Buxton vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
53.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BAM
2 - 1
BUX
47%
22%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BUX
2 - 3
MOR
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
WIT
0 - 2
BUX
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
BUX
1 - 2
HYD
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 4
BUX
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
WHI
1 - 2
UNM
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
7 - 0
UNM
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HYD
1 - 5
UNM
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
UNM
3 - 2
RAD
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
ASH
1 - 2
UNM
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |