Buxton vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
BUX
1 - 1
NAN
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 0
BUX
12%
21%
67%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BUX
3 - 0
HYD
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
BUX
2 - 0
ATH
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
YOR
0 - 1
BUX
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 4
MKD
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FLE
1 - 2
MOR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 2
CUM
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |