Buxton vs Matlock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
STO
3 - 0
BUX
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
COL
3 - 2
BUX
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 0
BUX
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
BUX
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BUX
3 - 1
STA
51%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 2
SKE
31%
26%
44%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BLY
1 - 0
MAT
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 5
DAR
16%
22%
61%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
STO
4 - 1
MAT
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
STA
2 - 0
MAT
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |