Buxton vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
COA
4 - 1
BUX
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BUX
0 - 0
COA
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BUX
4 - 1
RFC
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
BAM
2 - 2
BUX
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 5
BUX
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 1
LAN
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 0
LAN
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 2
TRA
37%
25%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
BAM
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GAI
3 - 1
LAN
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |