Buxton vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
RFC
1 - 2
BUX
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BUX
3 - 3
WAR
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WHI
4 - 2
BUX
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
BUX
1 - 3
RFC
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HAL
2 - 4
BUX
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BLY
5 - 1
HED
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HED
1 - 1
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COR
3 - 2
HED
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HED
2 - 1
RUS
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SPE
4 - 2
HED
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |