Buxton vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
2 - 1
FAR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
2 - 1
LEA
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 2
BUX
16%
21%
64%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BUX
3 - 0
STA
19%
20%
62%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 2
BUX
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OXF
2 - 2
DAR
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 2
KID
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 0
TOW
17%
20%
63%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
DAR
20%
21%
59%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
DAR
31%
23%
46%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |