Buxton vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 6
BUX
15%
21%
64%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BUX
2 - 1
ASH
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MIC
2 - 0
BUX
51%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BUX
2 - 1
RAM
68%
18%
13%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
STA
2 - 4
BUX
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
NAN
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
COL
0 - 2
WOR
24%
26%
50%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
COL
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WOR
5 - 0
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
NAN
3 - 2
COL
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |