Buxton vs Coalville Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
FAR
3 - 0
BUX
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BUX
2 - 2
STA
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 0
BUX
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
HAL
1 - 3
BUX
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
MAT
3 - 3
BUX
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Coalville Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
COA
0 - 0
RFC
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
HED
1 - 1
COA
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
COA
4 - 2
SUT
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
MIC
2 - 2
COA
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
COA
0 - 3
ALT
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |