Buxton vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
STO
0 - 3
BUX
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BUX
0 - 3
RUS
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
BUX
35%
28%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BUX
1 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 2
BUX
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 4
RAM
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASH
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
KIN
0 - 1
BAR
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
MAT
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
WHI
0 - 1
BAR
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |