Buxoro vs Shurtan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
5º
2º
31
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 49 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 39 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 28 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 21 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
95% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 98% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BUX
5 - 0
FKO
70%
18%
11%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 0
BUX
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
BUX
0 - 1
MAS
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
DOS
1 - 2
BUX
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
3 - 1
XOR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 1
QOQ
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SHO
4 - 0
ORO
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MAS
3 - 1
SHO
48%
28%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
3 - 1
DOS
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
XOR
0 - 0
SHO
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |