Buxoro vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
14º
14º
25
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
NAS
4 - 3
BUX
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
BUX
2 - 3
FKT
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
BUX
59%
26%
15%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
BUX
0 - 1
AND
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BUX
1 - 1
SHO
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
QIZ
1 - 2
NAV
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
QIZ
2 - 0
BUN
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 0
QIZ
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
QIZ
3 - 0
FKZ
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
QIZ
1 - 1
NEF
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |