Buxoro vs Mash' al analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
5º
2º
44
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 49 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 39 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 28 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 21 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
95% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
DOS
1 - 2
BUX
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
3 - 1
XOR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
QOQ
0 - 1
BUX
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 2
BUX
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
BUX
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mash' al
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MAS
3 - 1
SHO
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 1
MAS
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 21 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MAS
3 - 0
ORO
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 1
QOQ
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
MAS
1 - 3
QIZ
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |