Buxoro vs Olympic II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+1091%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
5º
2º
15
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 49 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 39 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 28 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 21 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
95% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 73% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 0
BUX
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
BUX
0 - 1
MAS
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
DOS
1 - 2
BUX
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
3 - 1
XOR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
QOQ
0 - 1
BUX
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Olympic II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
FKO
2 - 2
QOQ
16%
22%
62%
|
21 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 1
FKO
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 1
MAS
20%
24%
56%
|
21 | 59 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DOS
2 - 1
FKO
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 1
XOR
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | +1 |