Butrinti Sarandë vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Butrinti Sarandë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BES
1 - 0
BUT
74%
18%
8%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BUT
4 - 0
BUR
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BUT
3 - 2
ELB
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 0
BUT
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BUT
1 - 2
LUF
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ILI
0 - 1
LUS
38%
29%
33%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LUF
5 - 1
ILI
52%
26%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ILI
1 - 0
BES
36%
28%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SKR
2 - 1
ILI
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ILI
3 - 0
HIM
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |