Butrinti Sarandë vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Butrinti Sarandë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
POG
3 - 0
BUT
67%
21%
12%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BUT
0 - 0
LUS
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SHK
1 - 0
BUT
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BUT
1 - 2
POG
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LUF
1 - 0
BUT
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
APO
2 - 1
TUR
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
APO
0 - 0
LUF
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DIN
0 - 1
APO
21%
26%
54%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 1
APO
17%
24%
59%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
APO
2 - 0
SOP
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |