Butler vs Creighton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Butler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
XMK
0 - 1
BUB
15%
18%
68%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MQU
1 - 0
BUB
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
DBD
0 - 1
BUB
29%
21%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CTU
4 - 2
BUB
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BUB
0 - 0
XMK
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Creighton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CTU
4 - 3
DBD
75%
14%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
XMK
0 - 3
CTU
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CTU
1 - 2
MQU
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CTU
4 - 2
BUB
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DBD
2 - 1
CTU
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |