Bustese Milano City FC vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustese Milano City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 1
BUS
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BUS
0 - 1
CIS
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PIA
4 - 1
BUS
83%
11%
5%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
BUS
3 - 1
INV
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
BUS
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
PON
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
OLG
3 - 0
PER
46%
27%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PER
0 - 0
SON
65%
20%
16%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
PER
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PER
1 - 0
VAR
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |