Bustelo vs Sousense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
BUS
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PAM
2 - 1
BUS
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BUS
0 - 2
ADN
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
BUS
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BUS
1 - 3
OPE
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
ESP
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
SOU
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
PAM
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 2
SOU
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 0
LUS
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |