Bustelo vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
BUS
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BUS
1 - 2
ANA
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
BUS
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BUS
0 - 0
ACV
20%
24%
57%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 1
BUS
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 0
SOU
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 1
OPE
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 1
PAM
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 1
OPE
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OPE
3 - 2
LUS
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |