Bustelo vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
BUS
27%
24%
50%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BUS
0 - 0
CES
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
BUS
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 2
GAF
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 4
EST
21%
25%
53%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
LUS
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 3
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OFR
0 - 1
LUS
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 3
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |