Bustelo vs Grijó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
BUS
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
BUS
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BUS
5 - 0
LUS
28%
25%
46%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +4 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 1
EST
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ANA
1 - 0
BUS
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grijó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GRI
4 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
GRI
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 1
ANA
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 3
CIN
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 3
GRI
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |