Bustelo vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 4
EST
21%
25%
53%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OFR
0 - 0
BUS
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BUS
3 - 2
LUS
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
BUS
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 1
MOR
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
GAF
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
GAF
0 - 1
EST
24%
26%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ANA
2 - 1
GAF
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 0
OFR
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 1
GAF
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |