Bustelo vs Estarreja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OFR
0 - 0
BUS
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BUS
3 - 2
LUS
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
BUS
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 1
MOR
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ANA
0 - 3
BUS
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
GAF
0 - 1
EST
24%
26%
51%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
EST
5 - 0
OFR
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
EST
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |