Bustelo vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
61.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BUS
0 - 0
SOU
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
BUS
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PAM
2 - 1
BUS
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BUS
0 - 2
ADN
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
BUS
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 0
ANA
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
ESP
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 0
ESP
23%
25%
53%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
BEN
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 2
ACV
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |