Bustelo vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 1
BUS
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FEL
2 - 0
BUS
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 0
SAO
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
ESP
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 1
BUS
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
LUS
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
CES
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
CES
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CES
4 - 2
ANA
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SCV
3 - 4
CES
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |