Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
12º
3º
44
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 65 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 59 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 55 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 54 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 53 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 48 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 43 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 43 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 15.5% |
|
Next round
|
56% | 56% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 0
BUS
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 3
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SEO
0 - 1
BUS
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 0
BUS
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 3
KOR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Suwon Bluewings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
SUW
1 - 3
ELA
69%
21%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 0
SUW
16%
25%
60%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SUW
0 - 1
BUC
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUW
0 - 1
CHE
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SEO
2 - 1
SUW
20%
27%
53%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |