Busan I Park vs Seoul E-Land FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
12º
6º
58
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SUW
5 - 2
BUS
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
BUS
2 - 1
SUW
24%
23%
53%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BUS
1 - 1
CHE
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDR
3 - 0
BUS
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BUS
2 - 1
BUC
52%
25%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Seoul E-Land FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
ELA
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ELA
0 - 2
SEO
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 0
ELA
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ELA
1 - 3
GYE
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 0
ELA
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |