Busan I Park vs Seongnam FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
12º
4º
23
7º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 65 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 56 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 55 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 53 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 53 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 46 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 41 |
10º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 36 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
13º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
42% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BUS
0 - 0
GIM
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 1
BUS
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ELA
2 - 1
BUS
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
0 - 2
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 1
GYE
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Seongnam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SEO
1 - 1
FCA
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SEO
2 - 2
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
SEO
46%
28%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SEO
0 - 1
BUC
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
SEO
1 - 2
CDR
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |