Busan I Park vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
BUS
3 - 1
DCI
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
JEJ
5 - 2
BUS
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
DAE
2 - 1
BUS
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
BUS
1 - 0
SEO
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
ULS
2 - 1
BUS
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
GYE
0 - 0
INC
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
INC
0 - 0
SEO
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
INC
1 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
INC
2 - 2
GKB
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
GWA
0 - 0
INC
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |