Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
12º
3º
27
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 65 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 59 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 55 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 54 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 53 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 48 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 43 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 43 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
56% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDR
1 - 2
BUS
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BUS
3 - 1
SEO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BUS
0 - 0
GIM
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 1
BUS
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ELA
2 - 1
BUS
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongnam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GYE
1 - 4
BUC
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KOR
3 - 0
GYE
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDR
0 - 0
GYE
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GYE
0 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 2
GYE
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |