Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
12º
3º
27
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 65 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 59 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 55 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 54 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 53 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 48 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 43 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 43 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
56% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 3
BUS
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 2
BUS
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 2
BUC
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 2
SEO
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 0
BUS
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongnam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GYE
2 - 2
BUC
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
SEO
1 - 4
GYE
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
GYE
2 - 4
CDR
38%
26%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
GYE
0 - 0
FCA
32%
25%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
KOR
4 - 0
GYE
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |